MLB Trade Deadline Impact: Analyzing Team Performance One Month Later
A comprehensive analysis of how MLB teams have fared one month after the trade deadline, highlighting key performances and playoff prospects.

MLB Trade Deadline Impact: Analyzing Team Performance One Month Later
With the MLB trade deadline now more than a month behind us, it's time to take a closer look at how each team's moves—or lack thereof—have influenced their performance as we head into the final stretch of the season. Here's a breakdown of where all 30 teams stand and whether their deadline deals have paid off.
Milwaukee Brewers
- Win Average: 98.7
- Playoff Probability: 100.0%
- Championship Odds: 18.3%
The Brewers have maintained their position as the team to beat, even without making significant moves at the deadline. Backup catcher Danny Jansen and reliever Shelby Miller have had mixed results, but Milwaukee's overall performance has been stellar. However, the injury to closer Trevor Megill could pose a challenge.
Philadelphia Phillies
- Win Average: 93.8
- Playoff Probability: 100.0%
- Championship Odds: 10.6%
The Phillies' decision to focus on quality over quantity has paid dividends. Harrison Bader has been a standout in center field, and Jhoan Duran has bolstered the bullpen. The addition of Walker Buehler after his release from the Red Sox adds depth to the rotation.
Chicago Cubs
- Win Average: 93.3
- Playoff Probability: 99.9%
- Championship Odds: 7.2%
The Cubs' quiet deadline has raised questions, especially with the struggles of infielder Willi Castro. However, the team remains in a strong position, though they need to close the gap with the Brewers in the NL Central.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Win Average: 92.9
- Playoff Probability: 99.9%
- Championship Odds: 10.6%
The Dodgers have leaned on improved pitching health to maintain their elite status. Alex Call has been a useful addition, but the team will need to maintain their first-half hitting prowess to be a true postseason behemoth.
Detroit Tigers
- Win Average: 92.9
- Playoff Probability: 100.0%
- Championship Odds: 11.3%
The Tigers' focus on pitching at the deadline has yielded mixed results. Kyle Finnegan has been a bright spot in the bullpen, but the offense has struggled, leaving the team in a tight race for the AL Central crown.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Win Average: 91.7
- Playoff Probability: 99.4%
- Championship Odds: 7.7%
The Blue Jays' bullpen remains a concern, despite the addition of Shane Bieber. If the relief staff can find consistency, Toronto has the potential to be a complete team heading into the playoffs.
San Diego Padres
- Win Average: 90.6
- Playoff Probability: 99.4%
- Championship Odds: 4.0%
The Padres have shored up their roster with key additions, including Mason Miller, who has strengthened an already formidable bullpen. However, the rotation remains a question mark.
New York Yankees
- Win Average: 90.5
- Playoff Probability: 98.9%
- Championship Odds: 10.6%
The Yankees have surged in the second half of August, thanks to a reinvigorated offense and steady rotation. However, the bullpen needs to find consistency to ease the anxiety of Yankees fans heading into October.
Boston Red Sox
- Win Average: 89.7
- Playoff Probability: 97.9%
- Championship Odds: 6.7%
The Red Sox have continued to play well, with Steven Matz providing a boost to the bullpen. The promotion of Payton Tolle adds depth to the rotation, but the team could still use a power bat.
Houston Astros
- Win Average: 88.1
- Playoff Probability: 85.3%
- Championship Odds: 3.6%
The Astros' deadline additions, including Carlos Correa, have not had the desired impact. Houston's offense has struggled, leaving the team in a precarious position as they head into the final stretch.
New York Mets
- Win Average: 86.7
- Playoff Probability: 88.2%
- Championship Odds: 5.2%
The Mets' offense has been hot, but the pitching staff has struggled. The bullpen, in particular, needs to find its form if the team hopes to make a deep playoff run.
Seattle Mariners
- Win Average: 86.5
- Playoff Probability: 74.1%
- Championship Odds: 2.6%
The Mariners' deadline acquisitions, including Josh Naylor, have had mixed results. The team needs their big guns to get hot simultaneously to secure a playoff spot.
Texas Rangers
- Win Average: 83.6
- Playoff Probability: 28.7%
- Championship Odds: 1.1%
The Rangers' bullpen has been a weak point, despite the addition of Merrill Kelly. The team needs to find consistency to stay in the playoff hunt.
Kansas City Royals
- Win Average: 82.5
- Playoff Probability: 11.3%
- Championship Odds: 0.2%
The Royals have made strides, but their offense remains a work in progress. The team needs to find more consistency to make a push for the playoffs.
Cincinnati Reds
- Win Average: 81.6
- Playoff Probability: 6.8%
- Championship Odds: 0.2%
The Reds' deadline additions, including Miguel Andujar, have been impressive. However, the team needs to find more consistency to make a playoff push.
San Francisco Giants
- Win Average: 81.6
- Playoff Probability: 4.8%
- Championship Odds: 0.1%
The Giants have shown glimpses of what they could be next season, but the team remains on the fringe of playoff contention.
Tampa Bay Rays
- Win Average: 80.8
- Playoff Probability: 3.6%
- Championship Odds: 0.1%
The Rays have continued to focus on the future, but the team remains in the hunt for a wild-card spot.
Cleveland Guardians
- Win Average: 79.4
- Playoff Probability: 0.9%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Guardians' offense has been a major weakness, but the team remains in contention in a weak AL Central.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Win Average: 78.9
- Playoff Probability: 0.5%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Diamondbacks have played better since the deadline, but the team remains on the outside looking in.
St. Louis Cardinals
- Win Average: 78.1
- Playoff Probability: 0.4%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Cardinals have continued to plug along, but the team is focused on next season.
Miami Marlins
- Win Average: 75.8
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Marlins have focused on developing young players, but the team remains out of playoff contention.
Los Angeles Angels
- Win Average: 75.4
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Angels' bullpen has improved, but the offense and rotation have struggled, leaving the team out of playoff contention.
Oakland Athletics
- Win Average: 74.2
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Athletics have shown signs of improvement, but the team remains out of playoff contention.
Atlanta Braves
- Win Average: 74.1
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Braves have had a disappointing season, but the team remains focused on the future.
Minnesota Twinsn- Win Average: 73.8
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Twins have struggled since the deadline, but the team is focused on developing young players.
Baltimore Orioles
- Win Average: 72.3
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Orioles have turned the page on a disappointing season, focusing on next year.
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Win Average: 71.6
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Pirates have continued to focus on the future, but the team remains out of playoff contention.
Washington Nationals
- Win Average: 64.5
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Nationals' rebuild continues, but the team remains in need of a spark.
Chicago White Sox
- Win Average: 59.6
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The White Sox have focused on developing young players, but the team remains out of playoff contention.
Colorado Rockies
- Win Average: 45.9
- Playoff Probability: 0.0%
- Championship Odds: 0.0%
The Rockies have continued to struggle, but the team remains focused on the future.
As we head into the final stretch of the season, the impact of the trade deadline is becoming clear. Some teams have made significant strides, while others are left wondering what could have been. The race to the playoffs is heating up, and every game counts.