Week 1 NFL Touchdown Predictions: Top 25 Scorers Revealed by Mike Clay
Discover Mike Clay's top 25 predicted touchdown scorers for NFL Week 1, including implied odds and betting insights.
Top 25 Predicted Touchdown Scorers for NFL Week 1
Every week, Mike Clay, a senior writer for fantasy football and the NFL at ESPN, generates projections for every game. These projections include the probability that a player will score a touchdown. Here are his top 25 predicted scorers for Week 1, along with the implied odds and the Anytime Touchdown moneyline offered by ESPN BET at the time of publication.
Key Players and Probabilities
- Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. DAL: 73% (-270)
- Derrick Henry, BAL vs. BUF: 72% (-257)
- Saquon Barkley, PHI vs. DAL: 71% (-245)
- Jonathan Taylor, IND vs. MIA: 66% (-194)
- Bijan Robinson, ATL vs. TB: 64% (-178)
Implied Odds Explained
Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a moneyline. Look for implied odds that are higher than the moneyline offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the moneyline is -110, Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. Conversely, if the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided.
Full List of Predicted Scorers
| Player | Prob(Implied) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. DAL | 73% (-270) | -135 |
| Derrick Henry, BAL vs. BUF | 72% (-257) | -155 |
| Saquon Barkley, PHI vs. DAL | 71% (-245) | -170 |
| Jonathan Taylor, IND vs. MIA | 66% (-194) | -190 |
| Bijan Robinson, ATL vs. TB | 64% (-178) | -250 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs, DET vs. GB | 64% (-178) | +100 |
| Kyren Williams, LAR vs. HOU | 60% (-150) | -160 |
| Josh Jacobs, GB vs. DET | 60% (-150) | -155 |
| James Cook, BUF vs. BAL | 58% (-138) | +100 |
| Ja'Marr Chase, CIN vs. CLE | 56% (-127) | -155 |
| Chase Brown, CIN vs. CLE | 56% (-127) | -185 |
| Omarion Hampton, LAC vs. KC | 56% (-127) | +105 |
| De'Von Achane, MIA vs. IND | 55% (-122) | -130 |
| James Conner, ARI vs. NO | 54% (-117) | -200 |
| Bucky Irving, TB vs. ATL | 53% (-113) | -200 |
| Xavier Worthy, KC vs. LAC | 51% (-104) | +135 |
| Josh Allen, BUF vs. BAL | 50% (+100) | +100 |
| Christian McCaffrey, SF vs. SEA | 50% (+100) | -170 |
| David Montgomery, DET vs. GB | 50% (+100) | +155 |
| Justin Jefferson, MIN vs. CHI | 50% (+100) | +125 |
| Kenneth Walker III, SEA vs. SF | 49% (+104) | +140 |
| Ashton Jeanty, LV vs. NE | 48% (+108) | -170 |
| Mike Evans, TB vs. ATL | 48% (+108) | +105 |
| Tee Higgins, CIN vs. CLE | 47% (+113) | +130 |
| Chuba Hubbard, CAR vs. JAX | 46% (+117) | -110 |
For the latest odds on these and all other player props, visit ESPN BET.
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